The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary candidate Gary Grossi has generated limited visibility in a district encompassing Lowell and Lawrence. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that might indicate a shift. A major national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among conservative-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant possibilities this far from November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMA-03 House Election Winner
MA-03 House Election Winner
$15,606 Wol.
$15,606 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$15,606 Wol.
$15,606 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,812 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,794 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary candidate Gary Grossi has generated limited visibility in a district encompassing Lowell and Lawrence. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that might indicate a shift. A major national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among conservative-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant possibilities this far from November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,606Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary candidate Gary Grossi has generated limited visibility in a district encompassing Lowell and Lawrence. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that might indicate a shift. A major national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among conservative-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant possibilities this far from November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$15,606Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican primary candidate Gary Grossi has generated limited visibility in a district encompassing Lowell and Lawrence. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that might indicate a shift. A major national Republican wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among conservative-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant possibilities this far from November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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