The strong Republican tilt of Kansas’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann faces only token opposition in the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold compete in their own primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, an unexpected scandal, or a primary upset producing a weaker GOP standard-bearer could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely absent major unforeseen developments before November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,943 Wol.
92%
Democratic Party
$1,526 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Kansas’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann faces only token opposition in the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold compete in their own primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, an unexpected scandal, or a primary upset producing a weaker GOP standard-bearer could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely absent major unforeseen developments before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,468Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Kansas’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann faces only token opposition in the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold compete in their own primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, an unexpected scandal, or a primary upset producing a weaker GOP standard-bearer could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely absent major unforeseen developments before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,468Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Kansas’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann faces only token opposition in the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold compete in their own primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, an unexpected scandal, or a primary upset producing a weaker GOP standard-bearer could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely absent major unforeseen developments before November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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