The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJuly Inflation US - Annual
July Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$649,479 Wol.
$649,479 Wol.
Aug 11, 2026
≤3.1%
No
3.2%
No
3.3%
No
3.4%
Yes
3.5%
No
3.6%
No
3.7%
No
3.8%
No
3.9%
No
4.0%
No
4.1%
No
≥4.2%
No
3.4% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$649,479 Wol.
$649,479 Wol.
Aug 11, 2026
≤3.1%
$59,103 Wol.
No
3.2%
$50,191 Wol.
No
3.3%
$112,144 Wol.
No
3.4%
$108,549 Wol.
Yes
3.5%
$81,345 Wol.
No
3.6%
$50,503 Wol.
No
3.7%
$42,968 Wol.
No
3.8%
$35,572 Wol.
No
3.9%
$32,770 Wol.
No
4.0%
$26,540 Wol.
No
4.1%
$25,137 Wol.
No
≥4.2%
$24,657 Wol.
No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$649,479Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$649,479Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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