Both Georgia Democratic senators remain firmly positioned to serve through 2026, with Jon Ossoff actively campaigning for reelection after securing his party's nomination unopposed in the May primary and Raphael Warnock holding a term that extends to 2029. Ossoff's substantial fundraising advantage, consistent polling leads in a competitive general election matchup against Republican Mike Collins, and routine legislative activity alongside Warnock reflect standard incumbent positioning without any public signals of retirement, health concerns, or other exit triggers. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" aligns with the absence of structural or personal developments that historically prompt early departures. Late-cycle factors such as a major scandal, sudden medical event, or unforeseen resignation could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Both Georgia Democratic senators remain firmly positioned to serve through 2026, with Jon Ossoff actively campaigning for reelection after securing his party's nomination unopposed in the May primary and Raphael Warnock holding a term that extends to 2029. Ossoff's substantial fundraising advantage, consistent polling leads in a competitive general election matchup against Republican Mike Collins, and routine legislative activity alongside Warnock reflect standard incumbent positioning without any public signals of retirement, health concerns, or other exit triggers. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" aligns with the absence of structural or personal developments that historically prompt early departures. Late-cycle factors such as a major scandal, sudden medical event, or unforeseen resignation could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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