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Italian Referendum

icon for Italian Referendum

Italian Referendum

$223,411 Wol.

May 9, 2025
Polymarket

$223,411 Wol.

Polymarket

Citizenship Residency Requirement

$58,502 Wol.

No

Increasing Protections

$31,010 Wol.

No

Small businesses

$62,986 Wol.

No

Stable Work

$34,043 Wol.

No

Safe Work

$36,870 Wol.

No

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Contract of employment with increasing protections – regulation of unlawful dismissals: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Small businesses – dismissals and related compensation: Partial abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Partial abolition of rules regarding the imposition of term limits on employment contracts, maximum duration, and conditions for extensions and renewals." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Exclusion of solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries suffered by employees of contracting or subcontracting companies, resulting from the specific risks of the activity of the contracting or subcontracting companies: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​

If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$223,411
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025
Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Contract of employment with increasing protections – regulation of unlawful dismissals: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Small businesses – dismissals and related compensation: Partial abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Partial abolition of rules regarding the imposition of term limits on employment contracts, maximum duration, and conditions for extensions and renewals." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Exclusion of solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries suffered by employees of contracting or subcontracting companies, resulting from the specific risks of the activity of the contracting or subcontracting companies: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​

If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$223,411
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025
Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"Italian Referendum" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Citizenship Residency Requirement" z 0%, za nim "Increasing Protections" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 0¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 0% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Italian Referendum" wygenerował $223.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 2, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Italian Referendum", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Italian Referendum" jest "Citizenship Residency Requirement" z zaledwie 0%, a za nim "Increasing Protections" z 0%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Italian Referendum" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.