Recent polling averages place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady support from its core Ashkenazi Haredi voter base despite turnout risks. A surplus vote-sharing agreement with Shas, announced October 11, aims to consolidate Haredi mandates and protect against wasted votes. Internal tensions, including Gur Hasidim negotiations over candidate placement on the joint list, have raised concerns about reduced endorsements and participation that could trim one to two seats. Broader Haredi youth apathy and debates over military draft exemptions further shape mobilization efforts, while the party's alignment with the pro-Netanyahu bloc remains secondary to these community-specific dynamics in current trader assessments.