Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a core sovereign right and non-negotiable red line in talks with the United States, as reflected in its consistent positions during 2025–2026 negotiations and the June 2026 memorandum of understanding. That MOU froze further expansion and enrichment activity temporarily while deferring final decisions on Iran's program, stockpile dilution, and facilities to a subsequent 60-day period, without any commitment to permanent cessation. IAEA reporting and official statements confirm ongoing enrichment capacity despite prior strikes on sites, and Iranian officials have rejected U.S. demands for long-term moratoriums or dismantlement. With the September 30 deadline weeks away, the absence of any recent diplomatic breakthrough sustains trader consensus against an agreement. A sudden shift in the final negotiation window or major concession on both sides could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
2% szansa
$62,740 Wol.
$62,740 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
2% szansa
$62,740 Wol.
$62,740 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a core sovereign right and non-negotiable red line in talks with the United States, as reflected in its consistent positions during 2025–2026 negotiations and the June 2026 memorandum of understanding. That MOU froze further expansion and enrichment activity temporarily while deferring final decisions on Iran's program, stockpile dilution, and facilities to a subsequent 60-day period, without any commitment to permanent cessation. IAEA reporting and official statements confirm ongoing enrichment capacity despite prior strikes on sites, and Iranian officials have rejected U.S. demands for long-term moratoriums or dismantlement. With the September 30 deadline weeks away, the absence of any recent diplomatic breakthrough sustains trader consensus against an agreement. A sudden shift in the final negotiation window or major concession on both sides could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
Wolumen
$62,740Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a core sovereign right and non-negotiable red line in talks with the United States, as reflected in its consistent positions during 2025–2026 negotiations and the June 2026 memorandum of understanding. That MOU froze further expansion and enrichment activity temporarily while deferring final decisions on Iran's program, stockpile dilution, and facilities to a subsequent 60-day period, without any commitment to permanent cessation. IAEA reporting and official statements confirm ongoing enrichment capacity despite prior strikes on sites, and Iranian officials have rejected U.S. demands for long-term moratoriums or dismantlement. With the September 30 deadline weeks away, the absence of any recent diplomatic breakthrough sustains trader consensus against an agreement. A sudden shift in the final negotiation window or major concession on both sides could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$62,740Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a core sovereign right and non-negotiable red line in talks with the United States, as reflected in its consistent positions during 2025–2026 negotiations and the June 2026 memorandum of understanding. That MOU froze further expansion and enrichment activity temporarily while deferring final decisions on Iran's program, stockpile dilution, and facilities to a subsequent 60-day period, without any commitment to permanent cessation. IAEA reporting and official statements confirm ongoing enrichment capacity despite prior strikes on sites, and Iranian officials have rejected U.S. demands for long-term moratoriums or dismantlement. With the September 30 deadline weeks away, the absence of any recent diplomatic breakthrough sustains trader consensus against an agreement. A sudden shift in the final negotiation window or major concession on both sides could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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