Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with 63.5% of the vote in Indiana's 7th District, which encompasses Marion County and ranks among the state's most Democratic-leaning seats based on prior election results and demographic composition. Carson has held the seat since 2008 and captured 68% in the 2024 general election. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic majorities. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats aligns with established nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unusually low turnout could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in this district show limited volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,895 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$396 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with 63.5% of the vote in Indiana's 7th District, which encompasses Marion County and ranks among the state's most Democratic-leaning seats based on prior election results and demographic composition. Carson has held the seat since 2008 and captured 68% in the 2024 general election. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic majorities. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats aligns with established nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unusually low turnout could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in this district show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,291Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with 63.5% of the vote in Indiana's 7th District, which encompasses Marion County and ranks among the state's most Democratic-leaning seats based on prior election results and demographic composition. Carson has held the seat since 2008 and captured 68% in the 2024 general election. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic majorities. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats aligns with established nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unusually low turnout could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in this district show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$2,291Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with 63.5% of the vote in Indiana's 7th District, which encompasses Marion County and ranks among the state's most Democratic-leaning seats based on prior election results and demographic composition. Carson has held the seat since 2008 and captured 68% in the 2024 general election. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic majorities. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats aligns with established nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unusually low turnout could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in this district show limited volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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