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icon for Ilya's next company?

Ilya's next company?

icon for Ilya's next company?

Ilya's next company?

Google/Deepmind 100.0%

Anthropic 100.0%

Apple 100.0%

X 100.0%

Polymarket

$83,262 Wol.

Google/Deepmind 100.0%

Anthropic 100.0%

Apple 100.0%

X 100.0%

Polymarket

$83,262 Wol.

icon for Google/Deepmind

Google/Deepmind

$13,891 Wol.

No

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$16,962 Wol.

No

icon for Apple

Apple

$7,487 Wol.

No

icon for X

X

$15,799 Wol.

No

icon for New organization

New organization

$7,754 Wol.

No

icon for Other existing organization

Other existing organization

$9,746 Wol.

No

icon for No announcement in May

No announcement in May

$11,624 Wol.

Yes

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Anthropic by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining or founding a newly created company/organization by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining another existing company/organization other than Anthropic, Google, X, and Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever doesn't announce his future plans by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, or his endeavors do not include joining any company/organization (e.g. If he announces he will be building a cabin in the woods). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
Wolumen
$83,262
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2024
Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2024, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Anthropic by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining or founding a newly created company/organization by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining another existing company/organization other than Anthropic, Google, X, and Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever doesn't announce his future plans by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, or his endeavors do not include joining any company/organization (e.g. If he announces he will be building a cabin in the woods). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
Wolumen
$83,262
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2024
Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2024, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"Ilya's next company?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "No announcement in May" z 100%, za nim "Google/Deepmind" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Ilya's next company?" wygenerował $83.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 14, 2024. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Ilya's next company?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Ilya's next company?" jest "No announcement in May" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Google/Deepmind" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Ilya's next company?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.