Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$16,591 Wol.
$16,591 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$16,591 Wol.
$16,591 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,092 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,499 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,591Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$16,591Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania