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icon for Iceland Legislative Election

Iceland Legislative Election

icon for Iceland Legislative Election

Iceland Legislative Election

Social Democrats (S) 99.8%

Independence (D) <1%

Other <1%

Centre (M) <1%

Polymarket

$307,571 Wol.

Social Democrats (S) 99.8%

Independence (D) <1%

Other <1%

Centre (M) <1%

Polymarket

$307,571 Wol.

icon for Independence (D)

Independence (D)

$84,692 Wol.

No

icon for Centre (M)

Centre (M)

$44,351 Wol.

No

icon for Social Democrats (S)

Social Democrats (S)

$73,454 Wol.

Yes

icon for People's (F)

People's (F)

$35,032 Wol.

No

icon for Viðreisn (C)

Viðreisn (C)

$35,724 Wol.

No

icon for Other

Other

$34,319 Wol.

No

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Centre Party (M, Miðflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Social Democratic Alliance (S, Samfylkingin - jafnaðarflokkur Íslands) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Party (F, Flokkur fólksins) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Reform Party (C, Viðreisn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than the Independence Party, the Social Democratic Alliance, the People's Party, the Liberal Reform Party, or Centre Party wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).
Wolumen
$307,571
Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Nov 21, 2024, 10:15 AM ET
Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Centre Party (M, Miðflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Social Democratic Alliance (S, Samfylkingin - jafnaðarflokkur Íslands) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Party (F, Flokkur fólksins) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Reform Party (C, Viðreisn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than the Independence Party, the Social Democratic Alliance, the People's Party, the Liberal Reform Party, or Centre Party wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).
Wolumen
$307,571
Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Nov 21, 2024, 10:15 AM ET
Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Iceland Legislative Election" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Social Democrats (S)" z 100%, za nim "Independence (D)" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Iceland Legislative Election" wygenerował $307.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 21, 2024. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Iceland Legislative Election", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Iceland Legislative Election" jest "Social Democrats (S)" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Independence (D)" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Iceland Legislative Election" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.