IAEA inspectors have had no access to the enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, or Isfahan since the 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, leaving the agency unable to verify the location, size, or status of Iran’s stockpile of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. Recent IAEA reports emphasize proliferation concerns and urge immediate verification, while Iran conditions any inspections of damaged sites on new protocols and a final U.S. agreement that includes sanctions relief. Negotiations around an interim memorandum earlier in 2026 produced conflicting statements on timing, with Tehran maintaining that parliamentary restrictions block routine safeguards activities at attacked locations. Upcoming IAEA board discussions in September 2026 could influence diplomatic pressure on access.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$374,032 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
4%
December 31
13%
$374,032 Wol.
October 31
$83,875 Wol.
4%
December 31
$36,759 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA inspectors have had no access to the enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, or Isfahan since the 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, leaving the agency unable to verify the location, size, or status of Iran’s stockpile of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. Recent IAEA reports emphasize proliferation concerns and urge immediate verification, while Iran conditions any inspections of damaged sites on new protocols and a final U.S. agreement that includes sanctions relief. Negotiations around an interim memorandum earlier in 2026 produced conflicting statements on timing, with Tehran maintaining that parliamentary restrictions block routine safeguards activities at attacked locations. Upcoming IAEA board discussions in September 2026 could influence diplomatic pressure on access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$374,032Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA inspectors have had no access to the enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, or Isfahan since the 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, leaving the agency unable to verify the location, size, or status of Iran’s stockpile of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. Recent IAEA reports emphasize proliferation concerns and urge immediate verification, while Iran conditions any inspections of damaged sites on new protocols and a final U.S. agreement that includes sanctions relief. Negotiations around an interim memorandum earlier in 2026 produced conflicting statements on timing, with Tehran maintaining that parliamentary restrictions block routine safeguards activities at attacked locations. Upcoming IAEA board discussions in September 2026 could influence diplomatic pressure on access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$374,032Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...IAEA inspectors have had no access to the enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, or Isfahan since the 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, leaving the agency unable to verify the location, size, or status of Iran’s stockpile of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. Recent IAEA reports emphasize proliferation concerns and urge immediate verification, while Iran conditions any inspections of damaged sites on new protocols and a final U.S. agreement that includes sanctions relief. Negotiations around an interim memorandum earlier in 2026 produced conflicting statements on timing, with Tehran maintaining that parliamentary restrictions block routine safeguards activities at attacked locations. Upcoming IAEA board discussions in September 2026 could influence diplomatic pressure on access.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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