**The Storm Prediction Center’s preliminary tally of 96 tornadoes for August 2026 places the count squarely inside the 80–99 bin that traders have priced at 90.3%.** This figure sits modestly above the 1991–2020 August average of 81 and reflects two notable outbreaks on the 11th and 20th that produced clusters of mostly weak (EF0–EF1) tornadoes across the Midwest and Northeast. El Niño conditions, which typically suppress Great Plains instability through altered jet-stream positioning and reduced CAPE, appear to have limited overall activity without driving totals far below normal. Final National Centers for Environmental Information counts are scheduled for release around 9 September and historically show only modest revisions from SPC preliminary numbers, so a substantial shift outside the 80–99 range would require unusually large downward adjustments or additional late-month confirmations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-99 98.6%
100–119 5.5%
60-79 1.8%
170–199 <1%
$10,612 Wol.
$10,612 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
<40
<1%
40–59
<1%
60-79
2%
80-99
90%
100–119
9%
120–139
<1%
140-169
<1%
170–199
<1%
200+
<1%
80-99 98.6%
100–119 5.5%
60-79 1.8%
170–199 <1%
$10,612 Wol.
$10,612 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
<40
$440 Wol.
<1%
40–59
$671 Wol.
<1%
60-79
$2,198 Wol.
2%
80-99
$4,498 Wol.
90%
100–119
$1,162 Wol.
9%
120–139
$247 Wol.
<1%
140-169
$397 Wol.
<1%
170–199
$440 Wol.
<1%
200+
$558 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.**The Storm Prediction Center’s preliminary tally of 96 tornadoes for August 2026 places the count squarely inside the 80–99 bin that traders have priced at 90.3%.** This figure sits modestly above the 1991–2020 August average of 81 and reflects two notable outbreaks on the 11th and 20th that produced clusters of mostly weak (EF0–EF1) tornadoes across the Midwest and Northeast. El Niño conditions, which typically suppress Great Plains instability through altered jet-stream positioning and reduced CAPE, appear to have limited overall activity without driving totals far below normal. Final National Centers for Environmental Information counts are scheduled for release around 9 September and historically show only modest revisions from SPC preliminary numbers, so a substantial shift outside the 80–99 range would require unusually large downward adjustments or additional late-month confirmations.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,612Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.**The Storm Prediction Center’s preliminary tally of 96 tornadoes for August 2026 places the count squarely inside the 80–99 bin that traders have priced at 90.3%.** This figure sits modestly above the 1991–2020 August average of 81 and reflects two notable outbreaks on the 11th and 20th that produced clusters of mostly weak (EF0–EF1) tornadoes across the Midwest and Northeast. El Niño conditions, which typically suppress Great Plains instability through altered jet-stream positioning and reduced CAPE, appear to have limited overall activity without driving totals far below normal. Final National Centers for Environmental Information counts are scheduled for release around 9 September and historically show only modest revisions from SPC preliminary numbers, so a substantial shift outside the 80–99 range would require unusually large downward adjustments or additional late-month confirmations.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Wolumen
$10,612Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The Storm Prediction Center’s preliminary tally of 96 tornadoes for August 2026 places the count squarely inside the 80–99 bin that traders have priced at 90.3%.** This figure sits modestly above the 1991–2020 August average of 81 and reflects two notable outbreaks on the 11th and 20th that produced clusters of mostly weak (EF0–EF1) tornadoes across the Midwest and Northeast. El Niño conditions, which typically suppress Great Plains instability through altered jet-stream positioning and reduced CAPE, appear to have limited overall activity without driving totals far below normal. Final National Centers for Environmental Information counts are scheduled for release around 9 September and historically show only modest revisions from SPC preliminary numbers, so a substantial shift outside the 80–99 range would require unusually large downward adjustments or additional late-month confirmations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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