**Virginia’s 11 U.S. House seats remain contested on the existing map after the state Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment in May 2026.** Democrats currently hold six seats and Republicans five. Several districts stay competitive heading into the November 3 election, including the open VA-7 (formerly held by Gov. Abigail Spanberger), VA-2 (incumbent Jen Kiggans facing Elaine Luria), VA-1 (Rob Wittman), and VA-5. Primaries concluded in August, setting up matchups in the most contested races. A favorable national midterm environment for the party out of power, combined with Virginia’s slight Democratic lean on the generic ballot, supports expectations of one to three net Democratic gains. Trader pricing between seven and eight seats reflects the narrow margins in these battlegrounds, where small shifts in turnout, candidate performance, or late polling movement could determine the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano7 37%
8 32%
6 13%
9+ 11%
<5
<1%
5
1%
6
13%
7
37%
8
32%
9+
11%
7 37%
8 32%
6 13%
9+ 11%
<5
<1%
5
1%
6
13%
7
37%
8
32%
9+
11%
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Virginia’s 11 U.S. House seats remain contested on the existing map after the state Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment in May 2026.** Democrats currently hold six seats and Republicans five. Several districts stay competitive heading into the November 3 election, including the open VA-7 (formerly held by Gov. Abigail Spanberger), VA-2 (incumbent Jen Kiggans facing Elaine Luria), VA-1 (Rob Wittman), and VA-5. Primaries concluded in August, setting up matchups in the most contested races. A favorable national midterm environment for the party out of power, combined with Virginia’s slight Democratic lean on the generic ballot, supports expectations of one to three net Democratic gains. Trader pricing between seven and eight seats reflects the narrow margins in these battlegrounds, where small shifts in turnout, candidate performance, or late polling movement could determine the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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