**Persistent above-target inflation near 3.6% PCE and resilient labor-market data have fragmented FOMC views on the appropriate policy path, producing tightly bunched Polymarket probabilities for 2 (23.9%), 3 (23.5%), and 4+ (22.0%) dissents at the December 8–9 meeting.** Recent votes illustrate the divide: the July FOMC held rates at 3.50–3.75% by a 9–3 margin, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. The upcoming September 15–16 meeting, which includes a new dot plot, plus intervening CPI, employment, and growth releases will shape whether the hawkish minority expands or narrows ahead of December’s decision and projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment that data-dependent dispersion among participants remains elevated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
0 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 9, 2026
0
18%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
0 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,230 Wol.
18%
1
$414 Wol.
17%
2
$223 Wol.
24%
3
$260 Wol.
24%
4+
$253 Wol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent above-target inflation near 3.6% PCE and resilient labor-market data have fragmented FOMC views on the appropriate policy path, producing tightly bunched Polymarket probabilities for 2 (23.9%), 3 (23.5%), and 4+ (22.0%) dissents at the December 8–9 meeting.**
Recent votes illustrate the divide: the July FOMC held rates at 3.50–3.75% by a 9–3 margin, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. The upcoming September 15–16 meeting, which includes a new dot plot, plus intervening CPI, employment, and growth releases will shape whether the hawkish minority expands or narrows ahead of December’s decision and projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment that data-dependent dispersion among participants remains elevated.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,380Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent above-target inflation near 3.6% PCE and resilient labor-market data have fragmented FOMC views on the appropriate policy path, producing tightly bunched Polymarket probabilities for 2 (23.9%), 3 (23.5%), and 4+ (22.0%) dissents at the December 8–9 meeting.**
Recent votes illustrate the divide: the July FOMC held rates at 3.50–3.75% by a 9–3 margin, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. The upcoming September 15–16 meeting, which includes a new dot plot, plus intervening CPI, employment, and growth releases will shape whether the hawkish minority expands or narrows ahead of December’s decision and projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment that data-dependent dispersion among participants remains elevated.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$7,380Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent above-target inflation near 3.6% PCE and resilient labor-market data have fragmented FOMC views on the appropriate policy path, producing tightly bunched Polymarket probabilities for 2 (23.9%), 3 (23.5%), and 4+ (22.0%) dissents at the December 8–9 meeting.** Recent votes illustrate the divide: the July FOMC held rates at 3.50–3.75% by a 9–3 margin, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. The upcoming September 15–16 meeting, which includes a new dot plot, plus intervening CPI, employment, and growth releases will shape whether the hawkish minority expands or narrows ahead of December’s decision and projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment that data-dependent dispersion among participants remains elevated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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