Recent developments in the ongoing Iran conflict, including U.S. strikes resumed in mid-July 2026 and subsequent cycles of escalation with limited ceasefire progress, have contributed to downward pressure on President Trump's job approval ratings. Polling averages from sources such as YouGov, Gallup, and aggregators now place approval near 33-38 percent, with net figures reaching new second-term lows around -27 amid voter concerns over foreign policy costs and domestic affordability. Economic pressures including inflation and household costs ahead of the November 2026 midterms represent additional factors that could influence further movement. Scheduled events such as congressional votes on appropriations, potential diplomatic negotiations, or midterm campaign developments may shape polling trends through year-end, while historical patterns show second-term ratings can fluctuate with major policy or geopolitical shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$107,005 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
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33%
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4%
$107,005 Wol.
35%
$72,819 Wol.
33%
30%
$8,637 Wol.
5%
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$2,851 Wol.
5%
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$3,197 Wol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent developments in the ongoing Iran conflict, including U.S. strikes resumed in mid-July 2026 and subsequent cycles of escalation with limited ceasefire progress, have contributed to downward pressure on President Trump's job approval ratings. Polling averages from sources such as YouGov, Gallup, and aggregators now place approval near 33-38 percent, with net figures reaching new second-term lows around -27 amid voter concerns over foreign policy costs and domestic affordability. Economic pressures including inflation and household costs ahead of the November 2026 midterms represent additional factors that could influence further movement. Scheduled events such as congressional votes on appropriations, potential diplomatic negotiations, or midterm campaign developments may shape polling trends through year-end, while historical patterns show second-term ratings can fluctuate with major policy or geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$107,005Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent developments in the ongoing Iran conflict, including U.S. strikes resumed in mid-July 2026 and subsequent cycles of escalation with limited ceasefire progress, have contributed to downward pressure on President Trump's job approval ratings. Polling averages from sources such as YouGov, Gallup, and aggregators now place approval near 33-38 percent, with net figures reaching new second-term lows around -27 amid voter concerns over foreign policy costs and domestic affordability. Economic pressures including inflation and household costs ahead of the November 2026 midterms represent additional factors that could influence further movement. Scheduled events such as congressional votes on appropriations, potential diplomatic negotiations, or midterm campaign developments may shape polling trends through year-end, while historical patterns show second-term ratings can fluctuate with major policy or geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Wolumen
$107,005Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the ongoing Iran conflict, including U.S. strikes resumed in mid-July 2026 and subsequent cycles of escalation with limited ceasefire progress, have contributed to downward pressure on President Trump's job approval ratings. Polling averages from sources such as YouGov, Gallup, and aggregators now place approval near 33-38 percent, with net figures reaching new second-term lows around -27 amid voter concerns over foreign policy costs and domestic affordability. Economic pressures including inflation and household costs ahead of the November 2026 midterms represent additional factors that could influence further movement. Scheduled events such as congressional votes on appropriations, potential diplomatic negotiations, or midterm campaign developments may shape polling trends through year-end, while historical patterns show second-term ratings can fluctuate with major policy or geopolitical shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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