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Polityka·Wojna Handlowa

How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

icon for How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?
Polityka·Wojna Handlowa

How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

20-30% 100.0%

<10% <1%

10-20% <1%

30-40% <1%

Polymarket

$1,389,364 Wol.

20-30% 100.0%

<10% <1%

10-20% <1%

30-40% <1%

Polymarket

$1,389,364 Wol.

<10%

$76,156 Wol.

No

10-20%

$296,919 Wol.

No

20-30%

$449,592 Wol.

Yes

30-40%

$311,852 Wol.

No

40% or more

$178,271 Wol.

No

No blanket tariff by June 30

$76,573 Wol.

No

This market will resolve according to the size of the first general tariff enacted by the Trump administration on imports into the United States from the European Union (EU). If the Trump administration does not impose a general tariff on the EU by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the European Unions is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve according to the size of the first general tariff enacted by the Trump administration on imports into the United States from the European Union (EU).

If the Trump administration does not impose a general tariff on the EU by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the European Unions is enacted.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Wolumen
$1,389,364
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2025, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the size of the first general tariff enacted by the Trump administration on imports into the United States from the European Union (EU). If the Trump administration does not impose a general tariff on the EU by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the European Unions is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This market will resolve according to the size of the first general tariff enacted by the Trump administration on imports into the United States from the European Union (EU). If the Trump administration does not impose a general tariff on the EU by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the European Unions is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve according to the size of the first general tariff enacted by the Trump administration on imports into the United States from the European Union (EU).

If the Trump administration does not impose a general tariff on the EU by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the European Unions is enacted.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Wolumen
$1,389,364
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2025, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the size of the first general tariff enacted by the Trump administration on imports into the United States from the European Union (EU). If the Trump administration does not impose a general tariff on the EU by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the European Unions is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "20-30%" z 100%, za nim "<10%" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?" wygenerował $1.4 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 2, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?" jest "20-30%" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "<10%" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.