Skip to main content
icon for April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

icon for April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

<1.14 0

1.14-1.19 0

1.20-1.25 0

1.26-1.31 0

Polymarket

$334,853 Wol.

<1.14 0

1.14-1.19 0

1.20-1.25 0

1.26-1.31 0

Polymarket

$334,853 Wol.

icon for <1.14

<1.14

$26,939 Wol.

No

icon for 1.14-1.19

1.14-1.19

$63,629 Wol.

No

icon for 1.20-1.25

1.20-1.25

$98,020 Wol.

No

icon for 1.26-1.31

1.26-1.31

$48,763 Wol.

No

icon for >1.31

>1.31

$97,501 Wol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of greater than 1.31°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.31°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Wolumen
$334,853
Data zakończenia
May 1, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Apr 10, 2024, 8:19 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.14°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of greater than 1.31°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.31°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Wolumen
$334,853
Data zakończenia
May 1, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Apr 10, 2024, 8:19 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.14°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.14°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to ">1.31" z 100%, za nim "<1.14" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" wygenerował $334.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 11, 2024. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" jest ">1.31" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "<1.14" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "April 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.