xAI's rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives trader sentiment for a Grok 4.4 release, following the May 5, 2026 launch of Grok 4.3 with its 1M-token context, top agentic tool-calling benchmarks, and aggressive API pricing. Elon Musk noted in mid-May that a 1.5T-parameter V9 model had completed training, with 3-4 weeks of supplemental work needed before release around mid-June, though earlier April timelines for a 1T Grok 4.4 faced delays amid shifting plans that may have consolidated it with Grok 4.5 features. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus models and xAI's Colossus-scale training push next steps, while upcoming catalysts include any official xAI API or platform rollout announcements that could resolve timing markets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGrok 4.4 released by...?
Grok 4.4 released by...?
$20,881 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 15
<1%
June 30
7%
July 31
70%
$20,881 Wol.
June 15
$6,343 Wol.
<1%
June 30
$12,491 Wol.
7%
July 31
$720 Wol.
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI's rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives trader sentiment for a Grok 4.4 release, following the May 5, 2026 launch of Grok 4.3 with its 1M-token context, top agentic tool-calling benchmarks, and aggressive API pricing. Elon Musk noted in mid-May that a 1.5T-parameter V9 model had completed training, with 3-4 weeks of supplemental work needed before release around mid-June, though earlier April timelines for a 1T Grok 4.4 faced delays amid shifting plans that may have consolidated it with Grok 4.5 features. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus models and xAI's Colossus-scale training push next steps, while upcoming catalysts include any official xAI API or platform rollout announcements that could resolve timing markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,881Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI's rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives trader sentiment for a Grok 4.4 release, following the May 5, 2026 launch of Grok 4.3 with its 1M-token context, top agentic tool-calling benchmarks, and aggressive API pricing. Elon Musk noted in mid-May that a 1.5T-parameter V9 model had completed training, with 3-4 weeks of supplemental work needed before release around mid-June, though earlier April timelines for a 1T Grok 4.4 faced delays amid shifting plans that may have consolidated it with Grok 4.5 features. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus models and xAI's Colossus-scale training push next steps, while upcoming catalysts include any official xAI API or platform rollout announcements that could resolve timing markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$20,881Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives trader sentiment for a Grok 4.4 release, following the May 5, 2026 launch of Grok 4.3 with its 1M-token context, top agentic tool-calling benchmarks, and aggressive API pricing. Elon Musk noted in mid-May that a 1.5T-parameter V9 model had completed training, with 3-4 weeks of supplemental work needed before release around mid-June, though earlier April timelines for a 1T Grok 4.4 faced delays amid shifting plans that may have consolidated it with Grok 4.5 features. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus models and xAI's Colossus-scale training push next steps, while upcoming catalysts include any official xAI API or platform rollout announcements that could resolve timing markets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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