Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on modest expansion around 1.0-1.2 percent amid a fragile recovery. Q2 data showed 0.3 percent quarter-on-quarter growth, revised higher, with exports rising 2.0 percent as the main driver while domestic demand remained subdued. Forecasters including the Kiel Institute lifted 2026 annual GDP projections to 1.3 percent on improved momentum, though they project only 0.1 percent for Q3 due to low Rhine water levels curbing industrial output and elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict pushing inflation to 2.7 percent. Persistent structural challenges, fading fiscal support, and geopolitical risks continue to weigh on sentiment, keeping the 1.0-1.2 percent range as the market-implied consensus ahead of the late-October flash release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGermany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 21%
1.3%+ 19%
≤0.0% 5.9%
$34,211 Wol.
$34,211 Wol.
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
6%
0.1-0.3%
4%
0.4-0.6%
5%
0.7-0.9%
21%
1.0-1.2%
53%
1.3%+
19%
1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 21%
1.3%+ 19%
≤0.0% 5.9%
$34,211 Wol.
$34,211 Wol.
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
$1,361 Wol.
6%
0.1-0.3%
$1,634 Wol.
4%
0.4-0.6%
$690 Wol.
5%
0.7-0.9%
$5,794 Wol.
21%
1.0-1.2%
$20,430 Wol.
53%
1.3%+
$4,302 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on modest expansion around 1.0-1.2 percent amid a fragile recovery. Q2 data showed 0.3 percent quarter-on-quarter growth, revised higher, with exports rising 2.0 percent as the main driver while domestic demand remained subdued. Forecasters including the Kiel Institute lifted 2026 annual GDP projections to 1.3 percent on improved momentum, though they project only 0.1 percent for Q3 due to low Rhine water levels curbing industrial output and elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict pushing inflation to 2.7 percent. Persistent structural challenges, fading fiscal support, and geopolitical risks continue to weigh on sentiment, keeping the 1.0-1.2 percent range as the market-implied consensus ahead of the late-October flash release.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,211Data zakończenia
Oct 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on modest expansion around 1.0-1.2 percent amid a fragile recovery. Q2 data showed 0.3 percent quarter-on-quarter growth, revised higher, with exports rising 2.0 percent as the main driver while domestic demand remained subdued. Forecasters including the Kiel Institute lifted 2026 annual GDP projections to 1.3 percent on improved momentum, though they project only 0.1 percent for Q3 due to low Rhine water levels curbing industrial output and elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict pushing inflation to 2.7 percent. Persistent structural challenges, fading fiscal support, and geopolitical risks continue to weigh on sentiment, keeping the 1.0-1.2 percent range as the market-implied consensus ahead of the late-October flash release.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$34,211Data zakończenia
Oct 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on modest expansion around 1.0-1.2 percent amid a fragile recovery. Q2 data showed 0.3 percent quarter-on-quarter growth, revised higher, with exports rising 2.0 percent as the main driver while domestic demand remained subdued. Forecasters including the Kiel Institute lifted 2026 annual GDP projections to 1.3 percent on improved momentum, though they project only 0.1 percent for Q3 due to low Rhine water levels curbing industrial output and elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict pushing inflation to 2.7 percent. Persistent structural challenges, fading fiscal support, and geopolitical risks continue to weigh on sentiment, keeping the 1.0-1.2 percent range as the market-implied consensus ahead of the late-October flash release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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