Google’s Google I/O conference opening today drives the near-certain trader consensus around a May 19 release for Gemini 3.2, the latest iteration in the company’s large language model lineup. Recent leaks of model identifiers in AI Studio logs, Gemini app metadata, and LM Arena benchmarks mirror the exact pattern that preceded the February 19 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, while insiders indicate a Flash variant optimized for speed and multimodal tasks will debut without a new Pro model. This fits Google’s stepped-up cadence of smaller, frequent updates aimed at narrowing gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic systems. A last-minute delay from integration issues or a shift to a May 20 announcement at the event remain the only realistic ways the market could move.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGemini 3.2 released on...?
Gemini 3.2 released on...?
May 19 100.0%
On or prior to May 6 <1%
May 7 <1%
May 8 <1%
$573,233 Wol.
$573,233 Wol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 6
No
May 7
No
May 8
No
May 9
No
May 10
No
May 11
No
May 12
No
May 13
No
May 14
No
May 15
No
May 16
No
May 17
No
May 18
No
May 19
Yes
May 20
No
May 21
No
May 22
No
May 23
No
May 24
No
May 25
No
May 26
No
May 27
No
May 28
No
May 29
No
May 30
No
May 31
No
No release by May 31
No
May 19 100.0%
On or prior to May 6 <1%
May 7 <1%
May 8 <1%
$573,233 Wol.
$573,233 Wol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 6
$1,436 Wol.
No
May 7
$794 Wol.
No
May 8
$810 Wol.
No
May 9
$2,787 Wol.
No
May 10
$3,902 Wol.
No
May 11
$9,023 Wol.
No
May 12
$8,126 Wol.
No
May 13
$3,373 Wol.
No
May 14
$3,770 Wol.
No
May 15
$7,549 Wol.
No
May 16
$7,921 Wol.
No
May 17
$17,939 Wol.
No
May 18
$83,924 Wol.
No
May 19
$254,109 Wol.
Yes
May 20
$38,470 Wol.
No
May 21
$29,024 Wol.
No
May 22
$17,548 Wol.
No
May 23
$5,915 Wol.
No
May 24
$5,906 Wol.
No
May 25
$4,317 Wol.
No
May 26
$5,547 Wol.
No
May 27
$8,238 Wol.
No
May 28
$7,560 Wol.
No
May 29
$3,395 Wol.
No
May 30
$7,228 Wol.
No
May 31
$6,604 Wol.
No
No release by May 31
$28,020 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s Google I/O conference opening today drives the near-certain trader consensus around a May 19 release for Gemini 3.2, the latest iteration in the company’s large language model lineup. Recent leaks of model identifiers in AI Studio logs, Gemini app metadata, and LM Arena benchmarks mirror the exact pattern that preceded the February 19 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, while insiders indicate a Flash variant optimized for speed and multimodal tasks will debut without a new Pro model. This fits Google’s stepped-up cadence of smaller, frequent updates aimed at narrowing gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic systems. A last-minute delay from integration issues or a shift to a May 20 announcement at the event remain the only realistic ways the market could move.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$573,233Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s Google I/O conference opening today drives the near-certain trader consensus around a May 19 release for Gemini 3.2, the latest iteration in the company’s large language model lineup. Recent leaks of model identifiers in AI Studio logs, Gemini app metadata, and LM Arena benchmarks mirror the exact pattern that preceded the February 19 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, while insiders indicate a Flash variant optimized for speed and multimodal tasks will debut without a new Pro model. This fits Google’s stepped-up cadence of smaller, frequent updates aimed at narrowing gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic systems. A last-minute delay from integration issues or a shift to a May 20 announcement at the event remain the only realistic ways the market could move.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$573,233Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Google’s Google I/O conference opening today drives the near-certain trader consensus around a May 19 release for Gemini 3.2, the latest iteration in the company’s large language model lineup. Recent leaks of model identifiers in AI Studio logs, Gemini app metadata, and LM Arena benchmarks mirror the exact pattern that preceded the February 19 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, while insiders indicate a Flash variant optimized for speed and multimodal tasks will debut without a new Pro model. This fits Google’s stepped-up cadence of smaller, frequent updates aimed at narrowing gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic systems. A last-minute delay from integration issues or a shift to a May 20 announcement at the event remain the only realistic ways the market could move.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania