Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGemini 3.2 released by...?
Gemini 3.2 released by...?
$650,001 Wol.
May 8, 2026
May 8
No
May 15
No
May 18
No
May 19
Yes
May 31
Yes
May 22
Yes
June 30
Yes
$650,001 Wol.
May 8
$33,468 Wol.
No
May 15
$132,241 Wol.
No
May 18
$6,557 Wol.
No
May 19
$43,237 Wol.
Yes
May 31
$123,451 Wol.
Yes
May 22
$243,262 Wol.
Yes
June 30
$67,784 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Per the rules, “Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-Lite, would qualify toward a ‘Yes’ resolution to this market.” Accordingly, qualifying models may include any decimalized variant of Gemini 3 after Gemini 3.1, provided the model otherwise satisfies this market’s rules. Qualifying releases of Gemini 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 3.8, or 3.9 would all count.Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$650,001Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Per the rules, “Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-Lite, would qualify toward a ‘Yes’ resolution to this market.” Accordingly, qualifying models may include any decimalized variant of Gemini 3 after Gemini 3.1, provided the model otherwise satisfies this market’s rules. Qualifying releases of Gemini 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 3.8, or 3.9 would all count.Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$650,001Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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