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Geopolityka·Iran

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

icon for Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Geopolityka·Iran

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

>99% szansa
Polymarket

$28,623,187 Wol.

>99% szansa
Polymarket

$28,623,187 Wol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.

Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.

Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.

The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$28,623,187
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Zakwestionowany

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Zakwestionowany

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.

Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.

Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.

The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$28,623,187
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Zakwestionowany

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Zakwestionowany

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

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Często zadawane pytania

"Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 100% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 100¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" wygenerował $28.6 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 15, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" to 100% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 100% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.