**Incumbent Brian Jack holds a strong position in Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters.** The race features Jack against Democrat Maura Keller following May primaries where Jack ran unopposed and Keller advanced after a runoff. A late October VoteNexus survey showed Jack at 50% to Keller’s 45% with 5% undecided, narrower than the district’s typical margins but still reflecting its R+15 lean and Jack’s 2024 performance above 66%. Georgia’s majority-vote rule triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches 50% on November 3. Traders appear to weigh the district’s consistent Republican tilt and limited recent volatility as favoring an outright first-round result, while acknowledging the closer polling as the main source of uncertainty around the majority threshold. No major new developments have altered the structural outlook in the past month.