Trader consensus prices the UEFA playoff Path C entrant—Turkey after 1-0 semifinal and final wins over Romania and Kosovo on March 26 and 31—as a slim 40% favorite to win Group D, narrowly ahead of co-host USA at 38%, reflecting Turkey's momentum from gritty qualification displays amid the USMNT's recent friendly setbacks including a 5-2 loss to Belgium and defeat to Portugal. This keeps the race tight in a balanced group, with Paraguay at 18.5% buoyed by squad reinforcements and Australia at 7% despite solid prep wins like 5-1 over Curacao and 1-0 versus Cameroon. USA's home advantage and No. 16 FIFA ranking counter Turkey's No. 22 position, but recent form drives the close contest where top two plus best thirds advance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFIFA World Cup Group D Winner
FIFA World Cup Group D Winner
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 40%
USA 38%
Paraguay 19%
Australia 7.1%
$28,879 Wol.
$28,879 Wol.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
40%
USA
38%
Paraguay
19%
Australia
7%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 40%
USA 38%
Paraguay 19%
Australia 7.1%
$28,879 Wol.
$28,879 Wol.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
40%
USA
38%
Paraguay
19%
Australia
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the UEFA playoff Path C entrant—Turkey after 1-0 semifinal and final wins over Romania and Kosovo on March 26 and 31—as a slim 40% favorite to win Group D, narrowly ahead of co-host USA at 38%, reflecting Turkey's momentum from gritty qualification displays amid the USMNT's recent friendly setbacks including a 5-2 loss to Belgium and defeat to Portugal. This keeps the race tight in a balanced group, with Paraguay at 18.5% buoyed by squad reinforcements and Australia at 7% despite solid prep wins like 5-1 over Curacao and 1-0 versus Cameroon. USA's home advantage and No. 16 FIFA ranking counter Turkey's No. 22 position, but recent form drives the close contest where top two plus best thirds advance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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