The closely matched implied probabilities for Group D reflect a balanced field at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, where co-host United States sits just ahead of Türkiye after mixed recent friendlies. The USMNT endured a 5-2 defeat to Belgium and a 2-0 loss to Portugal in March, exposing defensive vulnerabilities under Mauricio Pochettino ahead of final tune-ups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye, fresh off UEFA playoff qualification, brings momentum and attacking depth that traders view as capable of challenging the hosts in the group stage. Paraguay and Australia add further parity through established CONMEBOL and AFC pedigrees, with both sides capable of securing points in a compact schedule running June 12-25. This setup has kept the race tight, with no team holding a decisive edge in recent form or head-to-head history.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFIFA World Cup Group D Winner
FIFA World Cup Group D Winner
USA 40%
Türkiye 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.9%
$45,803 Wol.
$45,803 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
40%
Türkiye
37%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
9%
USA 40%
Türkiye 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.9%
$45,803 Wol.
$45,803 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
$12,926 Wol.
40%
Türkiye
$18,508 Wol.
37%
Paraguay
$8,697 Wol.
18%
Australia
$5,673 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched implied probabilities for Group D reflect a balanced field at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, where co-host United States sits just ahead of Türkiye after mixed recent friendlies. The USMNT endured a 5-2 defeat to Belgium and a 2-0 loss to Portugal in March, exposing defensive vulnerabilities under Mauricio Pochettino ahead of final tune-ups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye, fresh off UEFA playoff qualification, brings momentum and attacking depth that traders view as capable of challenging the hosts in the group stage. Paraguay and Australia add further parity through established CONMEBOL and AFC pedigrees, with both sides capable of securing points in a compact schedule running June 12-25. This setup has kept the race tight, with no team holding a decisive edge in recent form or head-to-head history.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$45,803Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched implied probabilities for Group D reflect a balanced field at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, where co-host United States sits just ahead of Türkiye after mixed recent friendlies. The USMNT endured a 5-2 defeat to Belgium and a 2-0 loss to Portugal in March, exposing defensive vulnerabilities under Mauricio Pochettino ahead of final tune-ups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye, fresh off UEFA playoff qualification, brings momentum and attacking depth that traders view as capable of challenging the hosts in the group stage. Paraguay and Australia add further parity through established CONMEBOL and AFC pedigrees, with both sides capable of securing points in a compact schedule running June 12-25. This setup has kept the race tight, with no team holding a decisive edge in recent form or head-to-head history.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$45,803Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched implied probabilities for Group D reflect a balanced field at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, where co-host United States sits just ahead of Türkiye after mixed recent friendlies. The USMNT endured a 5-2 defeat to Belgium and a 2-0 loss to Portugal in March, exposing defensive vulnerabilities under Mauricio Pochettino ahead of final tune-ups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye, fresh off UEFA playoff qualification, brings momentum and attacking depth that traders view as capable of challenging the hosts in the group stage. Paraguay and Australia add further parity through established CONMEBOL and AFC pedigrees, with both sides capable of securing points in a compact schedule running June 12-25. This setup has kept the race tight, with no team holding a decisive edge in recent form or head-to-head history.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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