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icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

12% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
12% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman remains actively engaged in Senate duties, with recent appearances defending U.S. military actions against Iran and urging Democratic unity, despite backlash from party progressives over his independent streak on issues like Israel aid and government shutdown opposition. Pennsylvania House Democrats withheld re-election endorsement support in late April, signaling primary challenge risks for his 2028 term, but no official statements indicate resignation plans or health setbacks beyond his prior stroke recovery. Absent any procedural moves like a special election trigger or withdrawal announcement, trader consensus prices a 77% implied probability against Fetterman vacating his seat by December 31, 2026, viewing intra-party tensions as future-oriented rather than imminent threats to his incumbency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman remains actively engaged in Senate duties, with recent appearances defending U.S. military actions against Iran and urging Democratic unity, despite backlash from party progressives over his independent streak on issues like Israel aid and government shutdown opposition. Pennsylvania House Democrats withheld re-election endorsement support in late April, signaling primary challenge risks for his 2028 term, but no official statements indicate resignation plans or health setbacks beyond his prior stroke recovery. Absent any procedural moves like a special election trigger or withdrawal announcement, trader consensus prices a 77% implied probability against Fetterman vacating his seat by December 31, 2026, viewing intra-party tensions as future-oriented rather than imminent threats to his incumbency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 17% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 17¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 17% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Nov 15, 2025. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" to 17% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 17% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.