Recent April nonfarm payrolls added a modest 115,000 jobs—below consensus forecasts—while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, signaling a cooling yet resilient labor market that tempers rate cut expectations for the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. March consumer price index (CPI) inflation remained sticky at 3.3% year-over-year, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% in late April, with the effective rate at 3.64%. CME FedWatch Tool implies trader consensus prices over 90% odds of no change in September, reflecting balanced inflation and employment risks. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12, June 16-17 and July 28-29 FOMC meetings, and monthly labor data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFed Decision in September?
Fed Decision in September?
$53,020 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
No
25 bps decrease
No
No change
Yes
25 bps increase
No
50+ bps increase
No
$53,020 Wol.
50+ bps decrease
$11,552 Wol.
No
25 bps decrease
$9,875 Wol.
No
No change
$12,776 Wol.
Yes
25 bps increase
$8,326 Wol.
No
50+ bps increase
$10,491 Wol.
No
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent April nonfarm payrolls added a modest 115,000 jobs—below consensus forecasts—while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, signaling a cooling yet resilient labor market that tempers rate cut expectations for the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. March consumer price index (CPI) inflation remained sticky at 3.3% year-over-year, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% in late April, with the effective rate at 3.64%. CME FedWatch Tool implies trader consensus prices over 90% odds of no change in September, reflecting balanced inflation and employment risks. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12, June 16-17 and July 28-29 FOMC meetings, and monthly labor data.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$53,020Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent April nonfarm payrolls added a modest 115,000 jobs—below consensus forecasts—while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, signaling a cooling yet resilient labor market that tempers rate cut expectations for the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. March consumer price index (CPI) inflation remained sticky at 3.3% year-over-year, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% in late April, with the effective rate at 3.64%. CME FedWatch Tool implies trader consensus prices over 90% odds of no change in September, reflecting balanced inflation and employment risks. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12, June 16-17 and July 28-29 FOMC meetings, and monthly labor data.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$53,020Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent April nonfarm payrolls added a modest 115,000 jobs—below consensus forecasts—while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, signaling a cooling yet resilient labor market that tempers rate cut expectations for the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. March consumer price index (CPI) inflation remained sticky at 3.3% year-over-year, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% in late April, with the effective rate at 3.64%. CME FedWatch Tool implies trader consensus prices over 90% odds of no change in September, reflecting balanced inflation and employment risks. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12, June 16-17 and July 28-29 FOMC meetings, and monthly labor data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania