Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, reflected in the market's 90% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge that produced multiple race wins and consistent double points finishes from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The Silver Arrows capitalized on the new power unit regulations and strong initial pace to build an 87-point cushion over Ferrari after roughly a dozen rounds. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through targeted upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's results, while McLaren has posted recent victories via Lando Norris, but neither has mounted a sustained challenge. Remaining variables include Mercedes' planned late-season development package, ongoing reliability management, and whether rivals can sustain higher upgrade rates under the cost cap to erode the advantage before the final flyaways.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMercedes 94%
Ferrari 4.5%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,720,487 Wol.
$28,720,487 Wol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
94%
Ferrari
4%
McLaren
1%
Red Bull Racing
<1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 94%
Ferrari 4.5%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,720,487 Wol.
$28,720,487 Wol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
$1,097,576 Wol.
94%
Ferrari
$803,060 Wol.
4%
McLaren
$1,824,528 Wol.
1%
Red Bull Racing
$1,013,688 Wol.
<1%
Williams
$3,809,770 Wol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$3,305,576 Wol.
<1%
Audi
$3,245,988 Wol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,708,690 Wol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$3,243,124 Wol.
<1%
Haas
$3,317,438 Wol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,351,049 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, reflected in the market's 90% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge that produced multiple race wins and consistent double points finishes from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The Silver Arrows capitalized on the new power unit regulations and strong initial pace to build an 87-point cushion over Ferrari after roughly a dozen rounds. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through targeted upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's results, while McLaren has posted recent victories via Lando Norris, but neither has mounted a sustained challenge. Remaining variables include Mercedes' planned late-season development package, ongoing reliability management, and whether rivals can sustain higher upgrade rates under the cost cap to erode the advantage before the final flyaways.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,720,487Data zakończenia
Dec 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, reflected in the market's 90% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge that produced multiple race wins and consistent double points finishes from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The Silver Arrows capitalized on the new power unit regulations and strong initial pace to build an 87-point cushion over Ferrari after roughly a dozen rounds. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through targeted upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's results, while McLaren has posted recent victories via Lando Norris, but neither has mounted a sustained challenge. Remaining variables include Mercedes' planned late-season development package, ongoing reliability management, and whether rivals can sustain higher upgrade rates under the cost cap to erode the advantage before the final flyaways.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Wolumen
$28,720,487Data zakończenia
Dec 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, reflected in the market's 90% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge that produced multiple race wins and consistent double points finishes from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The Silver Arrows capitalized on the new power unit regulations and strong initial pace to build an 87-point cushion over Ferrari after roughly a dozen rounds. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through targeted upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's results, while McLaren has posted recent victories via Lando Norris, but neither has mounted a sustained challenge. Remaining variables include Mercedes' planned late-season development package, ongoing reliability management, and whether rivals can sustain higher upgrade rates under the cost cap to erode the advantage before the final flyaways.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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