As Eurovision Song Contest 2026 nears its Vienna finale on May 16—following semis on May 12 and 14—trader consensus on Polymarket's Top 10 market favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") dominating at 35-40% implied win probability across bookies, bolstered by viral previews and strong jury-televote appeal. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard ("Før...") trail closely, reflecting powerhouse historical voting patterns, while Israel's Noam Bettan surges amid controversy over participation that prompted pullouts from Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, and Slovenia. Recent semi-final running orders (early April) and national final wins like Poland's Alicja and Armenia's Simón ("Paloma Rumba") lock in contenders; first rehearsals next week could spark staging-driven shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurowizja 2026: Top 10
Eurowizja 2026: Top 10
$390,761 Wol.

Finlandia
91%

Izrael
85%

Francja
81%

Australia
78%

Greece
76%

Dania
75%

Ukraine
74%

Sweden
71%

Italy
60%

Romania
57%

Mołdawia
39%

Cypr
37%

Bułgaria
36%

Czechy
32%

Łotwa
22%

Malta
27%

Croatia
22%

Albania
16%

Norway
16%

Serbia
14%

Litwa
13%

Luxembourg
13%

Niemcy
11%

United Kingdom
10%

Montenegro
9%

Armenia
9%

Portugalia
8%

Szwajcaria
8%

Belgium
7%

Polska
6%

Estonia
6%

Gruzja
6%

Azerbejdżan
4%

Austria
4%

San Marino
3%
$390,761 Wol.

Finlandia
91%

Izrael
85%

Francja
81%

Australia
78%

Greece
76%

Dania
75%

Ukraine
74%

Sweden
71%

Italy
60%

Romania
57%

Mołdawia
39%

Cypr
37%

Bułgaria
36%

Czechy
32%

Łotwa
22%

Malta
27%

Croatia
22%

Albania
16%

Norway
16%

Serbia
14%

Litwa
13%

Luxembourg
13%

Niemcy
11%

United Kingdom
10%

Montenegro
9%

Armenia
9%

Portugalia
8%

Szwajcaria
8%

Belgium
7%

Polska
6%

Estonia
6%

Gruzja
6%

Azerbejdżan
4%

Austria
4%

San Marino
3%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As Eurovision Song Contest 2026 nears its Vienna finale on May 16—following semis on May 12 and 14—trader consensus on Polymarket's Top 10 market favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") dominating at 35-40% implied win probability across bookies, bolstered by viral previews and strong jury-televote appeal. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard ("Før...") trail closely, reflecting powerhouse historical voting patterns, while Israel's Noam Bettan surges amid controversy over participation that prompted pullouts from Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, and Slovenia. Recent semi-final running orders (early April) and national final wins like Poland's Alicja and Armenia's Simón ("Paloma Rumba") lock in contenders; first rehearsals next week could spark staging-driven shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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