Skip to main content
Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$235,370 Wol.

May 14, 2026
Polymarket

$235,370 Wol.

Polymarket
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Ukraine

$1,657 Wol.

95%

Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Australia

$11,862 Wol.

93%

Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Denmark

$714 Wol.

93%

Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Romania

$7,280 Wol.

83%

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Bulgaria

$6,005 Wol.

83%

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Cyprus

$17,121 Wol.

81%

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Malta

$15,738 Wol.

75%

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Czechia

$35,090 Wol.

71%

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Norway

$4,932 Wol.

69%

Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Albania

$18,818 Wol.

59%

Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Latvia

$1,236 Wol.

53%

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Switzerland

$74,454 Wol.

44%

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Luxembourg

$22,275 Wol.

37%

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Armenia

$12,278 Wol.

35%

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Azerbaijan

$5,910 Wol.

11%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," and Denmark's Torpegaard Lund with "Før vi går hjem" to lead qualification from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 in Vienna, reflecting their strong national final wins, high streaming numbers, and broad fan appeal amid historical diaspora support for Ukraine and Delta's pop star draw. The April 2 running order reveal boosted early performers like Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me"), positioning them as safe bets, while Azerbaijan's low odds stem from weaker previews. With rehearsals starting late April and jury voting underway, staging reveals and last-minute buzz could spark shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Wolumen
$235,370
Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," and Denmark's Torpegaard Lund with "Før vi går hjem" to lead qualification from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 in Vienna, reflecting their strong national final wins, high streaming numbers, and broad fan appeal amid historical diaspora support for Ukraine and Delta's pop star draw. The April 2 running order reveal boosted early performers like Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me"), positioning them as safe bets, while Azerbaijan's low odds stem from weaker previews. With rehearsals starting late April and jury voting underway, staging reveals and last-minute buzz could spark shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Wolumen
$235,370
Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 15 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Ukraine" z 95%, za nim "Australia" z 93%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 95¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" wygenerował $235.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 16, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final", przeglądaj 15 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" jest "Ukraine" z 95%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Australia" z 93%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.