Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), buoyed by strong pre-contest polls, melodic hooks, and historical televote appeal amid jury-televote splits. The April 2 running order reveal positioned Balkan entries Croatia (Lelek, "Andromeda"), Serbia (Lavina, "Kraj mene" closing), and diaspora-heavy Moldova and Israel favorably, while Portugal, Georgia, and Belgium face steeper paths. With rehearsals kicking off May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle—showcasing staging and live delivery—momentum could shift rapidly, as top 10 advance to the May 16 final alongside Big 5 performers Germany and Italy. Vienna's near-complete "state-of-the-art" stage heightens anticipation for production reveals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurowizja 2026: Pierwsza półfinał
Eurowizja 2026: Pierwsza półfinał
$478,964 Wol.
May 12, 2026
Finlandia
98%
Szwecja
98%
Grecja
97%
Izrael
92%
Mołdawia
88%
Serbia
79%
Chorwacja
75%
Litwa
66%
Czarnogóra
57%
Polska
45%
Portugalia
40%
Estonia
37%
Gruzja
35%
Belgia
30%
San Marino
18%
$478,964 Wol.
Finlandia
$334,298 Wol.
98%
Szwecja
$3,668 Wol.
98%
Grecja
$5,141 Wol.
97%
Izrael
$19,737 Wol.
92%
Mołdawia
$19,000 Wol.
88%
Serbia
$6,339 Wol.
79%
Chorwacja
$8,084 Wol.
75%
Litwa
$3,360 Wol.
66%
Czarnogóra
$6,205 Wol.
57%
Polska
$9,057 Wol.
45%
Portugalia
$34,991 Wol.
40%
Estonia
$8,485 Wol.
37%
Gruzja
$2,233 Wol.
35%
Belgia
$10,146 Wol.
30%
San Marino
$8,218 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), buoyed by strong pre-contest polls, melodic hooks, and historical televote appeal amid jury-televote splits. The April 2 running order reveal positioned Balkan entries Croatia (Lelek, "Andromeda"), Serbia (Lavina, "Kraj mene" closing), and diaspora-heavy Moldova and Israel favorably, while Portugal, Georgia, and Belgium face steeper paths. With rehearsals kicking off May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle—showcasing staging and live delivery—momentum could shift rapidly, as top 10 advance to the May 16 final alongside Big 5 performers Germany and Italy. Vienna's near-complete "state-of-the-art" stage heightens anticipation for production reveals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$478,964Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), buoyed by strong pre-contest polls, melodic hooks, and historical televote appeal amid jury-televote splits. The April 2 running order reveal positioned Balkan entries Croatia (Lelek, "Andromeda"), Serbia (Lavina, "Kraj mene" closing), and diaspora-heavy Moldova and Israel favorably, while Portugal, Georgia, and Belgium face steeper paths. With rehearsals kicking off May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle—showcasing staging and live delivery—momentum could shift rapidly, as top 10 advance to the May 16 final alongside Big 5 performers Germany and Italy. Vienna's near-complete "state-of-the-art" stage heightens anticipation for production reveals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Wolumen
$478,964Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), buoyed by strong pre-contest polls, melodic hooks, and historical televote appeal amid jury-televote splits. The April 2 running order reveal positioned Balkan entries Croatia (Lelek, "Andromeda"), Serbia (Lavina, "Kraj mene" closing), and diaspora-heavy Moldova and Israel favorably, while Portugal, Georgia, and Belgium face steeper paths. With rehearsals kicking off May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle—showcasing staging and live delivery—momentum could shift rapidly, as top 10 advance to the May 16 final alongside Big 5 performers Germany and Italy. Vienna's near-complete "state-of-the-art" stage heightens anticipation for production reveals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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