Tottenham Hotspur hold a narrow but decisive lead in the race for 17th place, sitting two points clear of West Ham United with superior goal difference and two matches remaining. Recent results, including a 1-1 draw against Leeds United, have kept Spurs just above the drop zone while West Ham’s poor run of form and tougher remaining schedule have shifted trader consensus toward an 89 percent implied probability that Tottenham finishes as the final Premier League survivor. Nottingham Forest, Leeds United, and Crystal Palace sit higher in the table and face minimal realistic chance of dropping into 17th. Only a dramatic collapse by Spurs combined with improbable results elsewhere could realistically alter the outcome before the final matchweek.