**Trader consensus on the August 2026 Core CPI MoM centers on a 0.2% reading, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability.** July’s actual 0.2% MoM outcome (following a flat June print) produced a 2.5% year-over-year rate—the lowest in several months—driven by easing shelter and supercore pressures alongside subdued core goods. Analyst forecasts for August cluster around 0.20–0.24%, reflecting expectations that core goods will moderate after a July rebound while services and shelter components add modest upward pressure through firmer owners’ equivalent rent, rents, airfares, and vehicle insurance. Energy price volatility remains excluded from the core measure. The release on September 11 precedes the September FOMC meeting and will inform near-term monetary policy expectations, with traders weighting the balance between continued disinflation trends and potential reacceleration in sticky services categories.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCore CPI MoM - August 2026
Core CPI MoM - August 2026
0.2% 54%
0.3% 29%
0.1% 15%
≤0.0% 5%
$10,502 Wol.
$10,502 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤0.0%
5%
0.1%
15%
0.2%
54%
0.3%
29%
0.4%
5%
0.5%
2%
0.6%+
1%
0.2% 54%
0.3% 29%
0.1% 15%
≤0.0% 5%
$10,502 Wol.
$10,502 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤0.0%
$397 Wol.
5%
0.1%
$928 Wol.
15%
0.2%
$6,374 Wol.
54%
0.3%
$1,814 Wol.
29%
0.4%
$325 Wol.
5%
0.5%
$344 Wol.
2%
0.6%+
$321 Wol.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus on the August 2026 Core CPI MoM centers on a 0.2% reading, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability.** July’s actual 0.2% MoM outcome (following a flat June print) produced a 2.5% year-over-year rate—the lowest in several months—driven by easing shelter and supercore pressures alongside subdued core goods. Analyst forecasts for August cluster around 0.20–0.24%, reflecting expectations that core goods will moderate after a July rebound while services and shelter components add modest upward pressure through firmer owners’ equivalent rent, rents, airfares, and vehicle insurance. Energy price volatility remains excluded from the core measure. The release on September 11 precedes the September FOMC meeting and will inform near-term monetary policy expectations, with traders weighting the balance between continued disinflation trends and potential reacceleration in sticky services categories.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,502Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus on the August 2026 Core CPI MoM centers on a 0.2% reading, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability.** July’s actual 0.2% MoM outcome (following a flat June print) produced a 2.5% year-over-year rate—the lowest in several months—driven by easing shelter and supercore pressures alongside subdued core goods. Analyst forecasts for August cluster around 0.20–0.24%, reflecting expectations that core goods will moderate after a July rebound while services and shelter components add modest upward pressure through firmer owners’ equivalent rent, rents, airfares, and vehicle insurance. Energy price volatility remains excluded from the core measure. The release on September 11 precedes the September FOMC meeting and will inform near-term monetary policy expectations, with traders weighting the balance between continued disinflation trends and potential reacceleration in sticky services categories.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$10,502Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the August 2026 Core CPI MoM centers on a 0.2% reading, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability.** July’s actual 0.2% MoM outcome (following a flat June print) produced a 2.5% year-over-year rate—the lowest in several months—driven by easing shelter and supercore pressures alongside subdued core goods. Analyst forecasts for August cluster around 0.20–0.24%, reflecting expectations that core goods will moderate after a July rebound while services and shelter components add modest upward pressure through firmer owners’ equivalent rent, rents, airfares, and vehicle insurance. Energy price volatility remains excluded from the core measure. The release on September 11 precedes the September FOMC meeting and will inform near-term monetary policy expectations, with traders weighting the balance between continued disinflation trends and potential reacceleration in sticky services categories.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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