Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any Iran agreement lacking complete dismantlement of enrichment capabilities, missile restrictions, and terrorism-related conditions, citing the high bar for Senate approval of a treaty-like pact under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on sanctions relief and the nuclear program, negotiations have stalled with mutual accusations of violations and limited progress reported in August. GOP lawmakers including Sens. Graham, Cotton, Thune, and others have demanded formal congressional review and a vote, while public skepticism remains elevated over potential concessions such as asset unfreezing and oil sanctions relief. These procedural and substantive hurdles sustain trader expectations that Congress will not approve a deal this year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
13% szansa
$12,413 Wol.
$12,413 Wol.
Jan 1, 2027
13% szansa
$12,413 Wol.
$12,413 Wol.
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any Iran agreement lacking complete dismantlement of enrichment capabilities, missile restrictions, and terrorism-related conditions, citing the high bar for Senate approval of a treaty-like pact under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on sanctions relief and the nuclear program, negotiations have stalled with mutual accusations of violations and limited progress reported in August. GOP lawmakers including Sens. Graham, Cotton, Thune, and others have demanded formal congressional review and a vote, while public skepticism remains elevated over potential concessions such as asset unfreezing and oil sanctions relief. These procedural and substantive hurdles sustain trader expectations that Congress will not approve a deal this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,413Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any Iran agreement lacking complete dismantlement of enrichment capabilities, missile restrictions, and terrorism-related conditions, citing the high bar for Senate approval of a treaty-like pact under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on sanctions relief and the nuclear program, negotiations have stalled with mutual accusations of violations and limited progress reported in August. GOP lawmakers including Sens. Graham, Cotton, Thune, and others have demanded formal congressional review and a vote, while public skepticism remains elevated over potential concessions such as asset unfreezing and oil sanctions relief. These procedural and substantive hurdles sustain trader expectations that Congress will not approve a deal this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$12,413Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any Iran agreement lacking complete dismantlement of enrichment capabilities, missile restrictions, and terrorism-related conditions, citing the high bar for Senate approval of a treaty-like pact under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on sanctions relief and the nuclear program, negotiations have stalled with mutual accusations of violations and limited progress reported in August. GOP lawmakers including Sens. Graham, Cotton, Thune, and others have demanded formal congressional review and a vote, while public skepticism remains elevated over potential concessions such as asset unfreezing and oil sanctions relief. These procedural and substantive hurdles sustain trader expectations that Congress will not approve a deal this year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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