In Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 71.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising lead and aggressive digital ad campaign attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's legislative record on immigration and Trump-era issues. Recent polling from late April showed a tight two-way race with Bird slightly ahead at 25% to Rutinel's 24% amid 45% undecided voters, but Rutinel's TV and social media blitz—contrasting Bird's mail-focused strategy—has shifted sentiment in the final six weeks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited last year, narrowing the field, while others trail far behind; the nominee faces GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in this toss-up battleground.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoManny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo 1.1%
Dave Young <1%
$20,877 Wol.
$20,877 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Manny Rutinel
72%
Shannon Bird
36%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Manny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo 1.1%
Dave Young <1%
$20,877 Wol.
$20,877 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Manny Rutinel
$12,906 Wol.
72%
Shannon Bird
$2,688 Wol.
36%
Yadira Caraveo
$1,039 Wol.
1%
Dave Young
$1,663 Wol.
<1%
John Szemler
$1,237 Wol.
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
$1,345 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 71.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising lead and aggressive digital ad campaign attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's legislative record on immigration and Trump-era issues. Recent polling from late April showed a tight two-way race with Bird slightly ahead at 25% to Rutinel's 24% amid 45% undecided voters, but Rutinel's TV and social media blitz—contrasting Bird's mail-focused strategy—has shifted sentiment in the final six weeks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited last year, narrowing the field, while others trail far behind; the nominee faces GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in this toss-up battleground.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,877Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 71.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising lead and aggressive digital ad campaign attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's legislative record on immigration and Trump-era issues. Recent polling from late April showed a tight two-way race with Bird slightly ahead at 25% to Rutinel's 24% amid 45% undecided voters, but Rutinel's TV and social media blitz—contrasting Bird's mail-focused strategy—has shifted sentiment in the final six weeks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited last year, narrowing the field, while others trail far behind; the nominee faces GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in this toss-up battleground.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$20,877Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 71.5% implied probability, driven by his fundraising lead and aggressive digital ad campaign attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's legislative record on immigration and Trump-era issues. Recent polling from late April showed a tight two-way race with Bird slightly ahead at 25% to Rutinel's 24% amid 45% undecided voters, but Rutinel's TV and social media blitz—contrasting Bird's mail-focused strategy—has shifted sentiment in the final six weeks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo exited last year, narrowing the field, while others trail far behind; the nominee faces GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in this toss-up battleground.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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