Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have driven recent WTI crude volatility, with prices spiking above $100 per barrel earlier in May before retreating to the mid-to-high $80s amid elevated U.S. exports and weekly inventory draws. OPEC lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day, reflecting softer economic conditions and demand destruction from elevated prices, while the EIA projects large Q2 inventory declines that could support levels near $106 per barrel through June if disruptions persist. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming EIA stockpile data, any diplomatic progress toward reopening Hormuz, and OPEC+ production decisions, all of which influence the risk premium embedded in futures pricing as the June resolution deadline approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
$20,981,497 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
1%
↑ 175 USD
1%
↑ 150 USD
2%
↑ 140 USD
3%
↑ 130 USD
6%
↑ 120 USD
10%
↑ 115 USD
15%
↑ $110
19%
↑ $105
29%
↓ $85
75%
↓ 80 USD
46%
↓ 70 USD
13%
↓ 60 USD
3%
↓ 55 USD
2%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
1%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
<1%
$20,981,497 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
1%
↑ 175 USD
1%
↑ 150 USD
2%
↑ 140 USD
3%
↑ 130 USD
6%
↑ 120 USD
10%
↑ 115 USD
15%
↑ $110
19%
↑ $105
29%
↓ $85
75%
↓ 80 USD
46%
↓ 70 USD
13%
↓ 60 USD
3%
↓ 55 USD
2%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
1%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have driven recent WTI crude volatility, with prices spiking above $100 per barrel earlier in May before retreating to the mid-to-high $80s amid elevated U.S. exports and weekly inventory draws. OPEC lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day, reflecting softer economic conditions and demand destruction from elevated prices, while the EIA projects large Q2 inventory declines that could support levels near $106 per barrel through June if disruptions persist. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming EIA stockpile data, any diplomatic progress toward reopening Hormuz, and OPEC+ production decisions, all of which influence the risk premium embedded in futures pricing as the June resolution deadline approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania