Geopolitical tensions stemming from the US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have driven sharp Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, triggering substantial global inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels daily in the second quarter according to EIA data. These supply constraints have elevated WTI crude prices into the mid-to-high $80s as of late May, supporting trader focus on whether levels sustain or extend through June amid ongoing draws. Market participants are also weighing gradual supply normalization, lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, and upcoming weekly EIA inventory releases that could influence sentiment ahead of the final trading day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
$20,865,966 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
1%
↑ 175 USD
2%
↑ 150 USD
2%
↑ 140 USD
4%
↑ 130 USD
6%
↑ 120 USD
10%
↑ 115 USD
15%
↑ $110
20%
↑ $105
30%
↓ $85
80%
↓ 80 USD
54%
↓ 70 USD
16%
↓ 60 USD
5%
↓ 55 USD
2%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
1%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
<1%
$20,865,966 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
1%
↑ 175 USD
2%
↑ 150 USD
2%
↑ 140 USD
4%
↑ 130 USD
6%
↑ 120 USD
10%
↑ 115 USD
15%
↑ $110
20%
↑ $105
30%
↓ $85
80%
↓ 80 USD
54%
↓ 70 USD
16%
↓ 60 USD
5%
↓ 55 USD
2%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
1%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have driven sharp Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, triggering substantial global inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels daily in the second quarter according to EIA data. These supply constraints have elevated WTI crude prices into the mid-to-high $80s as of late May, supporting trader focus on whether levels sustain or extend through June amid ongoing draws. Market participants are also weighing gradual supply normalization, lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, and upcoming weekly EIA inventory releases that could influence sentiment ahead of the final trading day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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