California's 37th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the state, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove faces no significant Republican opposition or primary threats capable of altering the outcome, as multiple Democratic challengers and a single Republican candidate compete in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical results. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong independent performance advancing from the primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-37 House Election Winner
CA-37 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$381 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$312 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the state, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove faces no significant Republican opposition or primary threats capable of altering the outcome, as multiple Democratic challengers and a single Republican candidate compete in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical results. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong independent performance advancing from the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$693Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the state, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove faces no significant Republican opposition or primary threats capable of altering the outcome, as multiple Democratic challengers and a single Republican candidate compete in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical results. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong independent performance advancing from the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$693Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 37th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the state, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove faces no significant Republican opposition or primary threats capable of altering the outcome, as multiple Democratic challengers and a single Republican candidate compete in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical results. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong independent performance advancing from the primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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