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icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

NOWE
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$3,307 Wol.

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$1,364 Wol.

97%

Peter Verbica

$185 Wol.

32%

Sean Dougherty

$55 Wol.

38%

Tuka Gafari

$106 Wol.

14%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$192 Wol.

4%

Lars Mapstead

$55 Wol.

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,350 Wol.

2%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta enters the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 19th Congressional District as the clear frontrunner, backed by his established name recognition and the district's strong Democratic lean across Monterey, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, and San Luis Obispo counties. Filing closed in March with a field that includes Democratic challenger Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian candidates. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing costs, foreign policy spending, and donor influence, though Panetta has faced limited organized opposition. With the nonpartisan system advancing the top two vote-getters to November regardless of party, trader consensus reflects expectations that Panetta will advance alongside one other contender, most likely a Republican given the modest GOP field and low Democratic primary competition. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the final week before the vote.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$3,307
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta enters the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 19th Congressional District as the clear frontrunner, backed by his established name recognition and the district's strong Democratic lean across Monterey, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, and San Luis Obispo counties. Filing closed in March with a field that includes Democratic challenger Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian candidates. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing costs, foreign policy spending, and donor influence, though Panetta has faced limited organized opposition. With the nonpartisan system advancing the top two vote-getters to November regardless of party, trader consensus reflects expectations that Panetta will advance alongside one other contender, most likely a Republican given the modest GOP field and low Democratic primary competition. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the final week before the vote.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$3,307
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Często zadawane pytania

"CA-19 Primary Winners" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jimmy Panetta" z 97%, za nim "Sean Dougherty" z 38%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 97¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 97% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"CA-19 Primary Winners" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony May 27, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "CA-19 Primary Winners", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "CA-19 Primary Winners" jest "Jimmy Panetta" z 97%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 97% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Sean Dougherty" z 38%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "CA-19 Primary Winners" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.