Lula holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in Tocantins in the October 4 first round, reflecting his national polling lead and incumbency advantages in a polarized contest. Recent CNT/MDA and other surveys show him ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro nationally by roughly 10 points in the opening round, with the gap narrowing in runoff simulations. State-level data from Tocantins remains closer, including a late Veritá poll indicating a technical tie or slight edge for Bolsonaro within the margin of error. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury register single-digit support, while structural factors like regional voting patterns and campaign dynamics continue to shape assessments ahead of the October 25 runoff threshold if no candidate exceeds 50 percent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLula 68%
Flavio Bolsonaro 33%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$22,909 Wol.
$22,909 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
68%
Flavio Bolsonaro
33%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 68%
Flavio Bolsonaro 33%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$22,909 Wol.
$22,909 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$5,933 Wol.
68%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$10,851 Wol.
33%
Clariana Barao
$558 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$542 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$575 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$342 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,256 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$406 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$438 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$601 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$432 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$527 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$448 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in Tocantins in the October 4 first round, reflecting his national polling lead and incumbency advantages in a polarized contest. Recent CNT/MDA and other surveys show him ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro nationally by roughly 10 points in the opening round, with the gap narrowing in runoff simulations. State-level data from Tocantins remains closer, including a late Veritá poll indicating a technical tie or slight edge for Bolsonaro within the margin of error. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury register single-digit support, while structural factors like regional voting patterns and campaign dynamics continue to shape assessments ahead of the October 25 runoff threshold if no candidate exceeds 50 percent.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,909Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in Tocantins in the October 4 first round, reflecting his national polling lead and incumbency advantages in a polarized contest. Recent CNT/MDA and other surveys show him ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro nationally by roughly 10 points in the opening round, with the gap narrowing in runoff simulations. State-level data from Tocantins remains closer, including a late Veritá poll indicating a technical tie or slight edge for Bolsonaro within the margin of error. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury register single-digit support, while structural factors like regional voting patterns and campaign dynamics continue to shape assessments ahead of the October 25 runoff threshold if no candidate exceeds 50 percent.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$22,909Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in Tocantins in the October 4 first round, reflecting his national polling lead and incumbency advantages in a polarized contest. Recent CNT/MDA and other surveys show him ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro nationally by roughly 10 points in the opening round, with the gap narrowing in runoff simulations. State-level data from Tocantins remains closer, including a late Veritá poll indicating a technical tie or slight edge for Bolsonaro within the margin of error. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury register single-digit support, while structural factors like regional voting patterns and campaign dynamics continue to shape assessments ahead of the October 25 runoff threshold if no candidate exceeds 50 percent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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