Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round due to consistent regional strength in the Northeast, where state-specific polling from late August showed him at 53% compared to 19% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other contenders including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos. Government approval ratings near 60% in the state and positive evaluations of federal performance reinforce this edge among key voting blocs. National first-round surveys place Lula ahead overall, though the race remains competitive elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while acknowledging potential late shifts from campaign events, turnout variations, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLula 96.8%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.3%
Clariana Barao 1.1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$16,688 Wol.
$16,688 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Hertz Dias
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Zema
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 96.8%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.3%
Clariana Barao 1.1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$16,688 Wol.
$16,688 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$8,854 Wol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$837 Wol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$1,174 Wol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$638 Wol.
1%
Hertz Dias
$593 Wol.
1%
Renan Santos
$571 Wol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$593 Wol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$599 Wol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$566 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$520 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$633 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$469 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$641 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round due to consistent regional strength in the Northeast, where state-specific polling from late August showed him at 53% compared to 19% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other contenders including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos. Government approval ratings near 60% in the state and positive evaluations of federal performance reinforce this edge among key voting blocs. National first-round surveys place Lula ahead overall, though the race remains competitive elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while acknowledging potential late shifts from campaign events, turnout variations, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers before voting concludes.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,688Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round due to consistent regional strength in the Northeast, where state-specific polling from late August showed him at 53% compared to 19% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other contenders including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos. Government approval ratings near 60% in the state and positive evaluations of federal performance reinforce this edge among key voting blocs. National first-round surveys place Lula ahead overall, though the race remains competitive elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while acknowledging potential late shifts from campaign events, turnout variations, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers before voting concludes.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$16,688Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for first place in the October 4 first round due to consistent regional strength in the Northeast, where state-specific polling from late August showed him at 53% compared to 19% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other contenders including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos. Government approval ratings near 60% in the state and positive evaluations of federal performance reinforce this edge among key voting blocs. National first-round surveys place Lula ahead overall, though the race remains competitive elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while acknowledging potential late shifts from campaign events, turnout variations, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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