Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round voting intentions according to trader consensus, driven by the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and strong regional backing for the PL party and Bolsonaro family. Recent state-level surveys, including a July IPC poll and an August Quaest survey, showed him ahead by roughly 20 points or more over Lula and other contenders, reflecting durable voter preferences in the South. Nationally, Flávio has closed gaps amid Supreme Court-related developments that mobilized right-leaning support, though Santa Catarina's margins have remained wide. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign vote fragmentation among other right-wing names, major new legal disclosures tied to ongoing probes, or higher-than-expected turnout shifts among undecided or centrist voters before the October first round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Zema <1%
Hertz Dias <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Zema
1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Lula
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Zema <1%
Hertz Dias <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,895 Wol.
97%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$422 Wol.
1%
Zema
$321 Wol.
1%
Hertz Dias
$352 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$352 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$321 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$422 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$322 Wol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$322 Wol.
<1%
Lula
$348 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$322 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$322 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$312 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round voting intentions according to trader consensus, driven by the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and strong regional backing for the PL party and Bolsonaro family. Recent state-level surveys, including a July IPC poll and an August Quaest survey, showed him ahead by roughly 20 points or more over Lula and other contenders, reflecting durable voter preferences in the South. Nationally, Flávio has closed gaps amid Supreme Court-related developments that mobilized right-leaning support, though Santa Catarina's margins have remained wide. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign vote fragmentation among other right-wing names, major new legal disclosures tied to ongoing probes, or higher-than-expected turnout shifts among undecided or centrist voters before the October first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,030Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round voting intentions according to trader consensus, driven by the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and strong regional backing for the PL party and Bolsonaro family. Recent state-level surveys, including a July IPC poll and an August Quaest survey, showed him ahead by roughly 20 points or more over Lula and other contenders, reflecting durable voter preferences in the South. Nationally, Flávio has closed gaps amid Supreme Court-related developments that mobilized right-leaning support, though Santa Catarina's margins have remained wide. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign vote fragmentation among other right-wing names, major new legal disclosures tied to ongoing probes, or higher-than-expected turnout shifts among undecided or centrist voters before the October first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$6,030Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round voting intentions according to trader consensus, driven by the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and strong regional backing for the PL party and Bolsonaro family. Recent state-level surveys, including a July IPC poll and an August Quaest survey, showed him ahead by roughly 20 points or more over Lula and other contenders, reflecting durable voter preferences in the South. Nationally, Flávio has closed gaps amid Supreme Court-related developments that mobilized right-leaning support, though Santa Catarina's margins have remained wide. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign vote fragmentation among other right-wing names, major new legal disclosures tied to ongoing probes, or higher-than-expected turnout shifts among undecided or centrist voters before the October first round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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