Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other contenders. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place him between 52% and 62% among Roraima voters, compared with Lula in the mid-to-high teens and single-digit or lower figures for candidates such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury. The state delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro’s strongest margins in prior cycles, and the Liberal Party’s decisive win in a recent supplementary gubernatorial race has reinforced local alignment with the family’s platform. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors in a polarized electorate, though shifts among undecided voters or late developments within the final weeks before voting could still narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.6%
Lula 1.9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.6%
Lula 1.9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,612 Wol.
98%
Lula
$662 Wol.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$509 Wol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$565 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$422 Wol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other contenders. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place him between 52% and 62% among Roraima voters, compared with Lula in the mid-to-high teens and single-digit or lower figures for candidates such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury. The state delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro’s strongest margins in prior cycles, and the Liberal Party’s decisive win in a recent supplementary gubernatorial race has reinforced local alignment with the family’s platform. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors in a polarized electorate, though shifts among undecided voters or late developments within the final weeks before voting could still narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,464Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other contenders. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place him between 52% and 62% among Roraima voters, compared with Lula in the mid-to-high teens and single-digit or lower figures for candidates such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury. The state delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro’s strongest margins in prior cycles, and the Liberal Party’s decisive win in a recent supplementary gubernatorial race has reinforced local alignment with the family’s platform. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors in a polarized electorate, though shifts among undecided voters or late developments within the final weeks before voting could still narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$9,464Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other contenders. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place him between 52% and 62% among Roraima voters, compared with Lula in the mid-to-high teens and single-digit or lower figures for candidates such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury. The state delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro’s strongest margins in prior cycles, and the Liberal Party’s decisive win in a recent supplementary gubernatorial race has reinforced local alignment with the family’s platform. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors in a polarized electorate, though shifts among undecided voters or late developments within the final weeks before voting could still narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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