Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$16,493 Wol.
$16,493 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Lula
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Samara
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$16,493 Wol.
$16,493 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,929 Wol.
98%
Edmilson Costa
$490 Wol.
1%
Renan Santos
$490 Wol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$560 Wol.
1%
Lula
$663 Wol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$621 Wol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$539 Wol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$480 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$580 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$530 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$550 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$535 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$525 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,493Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$16,493Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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