Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 88%

Lula 12%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 1.1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$22,657 Wol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 88%

Lula 12%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 1.1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$22,657 Wol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$7,429 Wol.

88%

icon for Lula

Lula

$3,654 Wol.

12%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$816 Wol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$1,437 Wol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$1,173 Wol.

1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$1,437 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$1,532 Wol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$1,171 Wol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$493 Wol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$858 Wol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$640 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$641 Wol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$1,376 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) holds an overwhelming lead in trader pricing for first place in Rio Grande do Sul’s first-round presidential vote on October 4, reflecting consistent polling advantages in the state.** Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork from early September, show him at 42% against Lula’s 39% in stimulated first-round scenarios, with the gap widening in runoff simulations to 53%–42%. This positioning stems from strong consolidation of center-right and conservative support in the state behind the PL nominee, whose family maintains a durable base there despite national competition. Lula’s lower regional rejection in some metrics has not translated into a polling edge, while minor candidates such as Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema register in single digits and show little momentum to overtake the top two. With the campaign in its final weeks and no major late-breaking shifts reported in the past month, market pricing treats a Flávio first-place finish in Rio Grande do Sul as the clear consensus outcome.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$22,657
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) holds an overwhelming lead in trader pricing for first place in Rio Grande do Sul’s first-round presidential vote on October 4, reflecting consistent polling advantages in the state.** Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork from early September, show him at 42% against Lula’s 39% in stimulated first-round scenarios, with the gap widening in runoff simulations to 53%–42%. This positioning stems from strong consolidation of center-right and conservative support in the state behind the PL nominee, whose family maintains a durable base there despite national competition. Lula’s lower regional rejection in some metrics has not translated into a polling edge, while minor candidates such as Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema register in single digits and show little momentum to overtake the top two. With the campaign in its final weeks and no major late-breaking shifts reported in the past month, market pricing treats a Flávio first-place finish in Rio Grande do Sul as the clear consensus outcome.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$22,657
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Powiązane

icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

97%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

91%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

96%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 88%, za nim "Lula" z 12%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 88¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 88% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" wygenerował $22.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 17, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" jest "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 88%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 88% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Lula" z 12%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.