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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Lula 97.4%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro <1%

Samara <1%

Polymarket
NOWE

Lula 97.4%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro <1%

Samara <1%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Lula

Lula

$3,225 Wol.

97%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$512 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a dominant position to finish first in Rio Grande do Norte’s presidential first round on October 4, driven by consistent leads in recent state polls showing him at 47–56% support. As the incumbent PT president seeking re-election, he benefits from longstanding regional strength in the Northeast, where surveys from Exatus, Real Time Big Data, and earlier Atlas polling place him 18–29 points ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and well clear of fragmented challengers including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. Opposition votes remain split across multiple names with no single rival approaching double digits in most RN samples. Late developments such as turnout shifts, major campaign events, or unforeseen national controversies could narrow margins, though current polling and structural advantages point to a wide first-place margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$9,370
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a dominant position to finish first in Rio Grande do Norte’s presidential first round on October 4, driven by consistent leads in recent state polls showing him at 47–56% support. As the incumbent PT president seeking re-election, he benefits from longstanding regional strength in the Northeast, where surveys from Exatus, Real Time Big Data, and earlier Atlas polling place him 18–29 points ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and well clear of fragmented challengers including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. Opposition votes remain split across multiple names with no single rival approaching double digits in most RN samples. Late developments such as turnout shifts, major campaign events, or unforeseen national controversies could narrow margins, though current polling and structural advantages point to a wide first-place margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$9,370
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Lula" z 97%, za nim "Rui Costa Pimenta" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 97¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 97% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" jest "Lula" z 97%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 97% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Rui Costa Pimenta" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.