Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco first-round voting intentions, with recent September 2026 polls from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data showing him at 55-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24-25% and all other listed candidates in single digits. As a native of the state with deep roots in the Northeast's political base, Lula benefits from consistent regional loyalty ahead of the October election. Trader consensus reflects these patterns and the absence of major shifts in local polling or candidate positioning over the past month. A late surge by opposition figures, unusually low turnout among core supporters, or unexpected national developments altering voter priorities could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent in this key electoral college.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLula 97.2%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,145 Wol.
$10,145 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 97.2%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,145 Wol.
$10,145 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,097 Wol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$397 Wol.
1%
Zema
$339 Wol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$319 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$319 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$334 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$334 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$323 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$356 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$411 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$334 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$291 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$290 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco first-round voting intentions, with recent September 2026 polls from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data showing him at 55-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24-25% and all other listed candidates in single digits. As a native of the state with deep roots in the Northeast's political base, Lula benefits from consistent regional loyalty ahead of the October election. Trader consensus reflects these patterns and the absence of major shifts in local polling or candidate positioning over the past month. A late surge by opposition figures, unusually low turnout among core supporters, or unexpected national developments altering voter priorities could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent in this key electoral college.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,145Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco first-round voting intentions, with recent September 2026 polls from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data showing him at 55-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24-25% and all other listed candidates in single digits. As a native of the state with deep roots in the Northeast's political base, Lula benefits from consistent regional loyalty ahead of the October election. Trader consensus reflects these patterns and the absence of major shifts in local polling or candidate positioning over the past month. A late surge by opposition figures, unusually low turnout among core supporters, or unexpected national developments altering voter priorities could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent in this key electoral college.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$10,145Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco first-round voting intentions, with recent September 2026 polls from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data showing him at 55-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24-25% and all other listed candidates in single digits. As a native of the state with deep roots in the Northeast's political base, Lula benefits from consistent regional loyalty ahead of the October election. Trader consensus reflects these patterns and the absence of major shifts in local polling or candidate positioning over the past month. A late surge by opposition figures, unusually low turnout among core supporters, or unexpected national developments altering voter priorities could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent in this key electoral college.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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