Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná first-round projections due to consistent state polling showing him at 42-44% support against Lula at 24-30%, with all other candidates below 5%. The state's conservative electorate and established bolsonarista networks, reinforced by alliances such as with Senator Sergio Moro, have consolidated right-leaning votes behind the Liberal Party nominee ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price this dominance at 95% because no competing figure has demonstrated comparable regional strength or momentum in recent surveys. Shifts remain possible if national campaign events, higher turnout among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation around figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema alter the local balance before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
Flavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 3.1%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
95%
Lula
3%
Renan Santos
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Zema
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Samara
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 3.1%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,148 Wol.
95%
Lula
$330 Wol.
3%
Renan Santos
$336 Wol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$516 Wol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$526 Wol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$544 Wol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$434 Wol.
1%
Zema
$517 Wol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$413 Wol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$467 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$563 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$555 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$511 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná first-round projections due to consistent state polling showing him at 42-44% support against Lula at 24-30%, with all other candidates below 5%. The state's conservative electorate and established bolsonarista networks, reinforced by alliances such as with Senator Sergio Moro, have consolidated right-leaning votes behind the Liberal Party nominee ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price this dominance at 95% because no competing figure has demonstrated comparable regional strength or momentum in recent surveys. Shifts remain possible if national campaign events, higher turnout among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation around figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema alter the local balance before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,860Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná first-round projections due to consistent state polling showing him at 42-44% support against Lula at 24-30%, with all other candidates below 5%. The state's conservative electorate and established bolsonarista networks, reinforced by alliances such as with Senator Sergio Moro, have consolidated right-leaning votes behind the Liberal Party nominee ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price this dominance at 95% because no competing figure has demonstrated comparable regional strength or momentum in recent surveys. Shifts remain possible if national campaign events, higher turnout among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation around figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema alter the local balance before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$8,860Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná first-round projections due to consistent state polling showing him at 42-44% support against Lula at 24-30%, with all other candidates below 5%. The state's conservative electorate and established bolsonarista networks, reinforced by alliances such as with Senator Sergio Moro, have consolidated right-leaning votes behind the Liberal Party nominee ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price this dominance at 95% because no competing figure has demonstrated comparable regional strength or momentum in recent surveys. Shifts remain possible if national campaign events, higher turnout among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation around figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema alter the local balance before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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