Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Paraíba's first-round presidential vote, driven by repeated state polls showing him with 50% or more support against fragmented opposition. Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys confirm his advantage in the Northeast state, where incumbent approval and party alliances with groups such as the PDT and PSB bolster positioning ahead of the October 4 ballot. Lower probabilities for names including Flávio Bolsonaro, Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado align with their single-digit or lower shares in local polling. Shifts could still occur from late-campaign momentum, higher opposition turnout, or broader national developments affecting voter sentiment in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLula 97.8%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$40,063 Wol.
$40,063 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Zema
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Lula 97.8%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$40,063 Wol.
$40,063 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$32,063 Wol.
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
$633 Wol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$879 Wol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$633 Wol.
1%
Samara
$633 Wol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$633 Wol.
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$654 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$633 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$633 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$684 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$713 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$638 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$633 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Paraíba's first-round presidential vote, driven by repeated state polls showing him with 50% or more support against fragmented opposition. Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys confirm his advantage in the Northeast state, where incumbent approval and party alliances with groups such as the PDT and PSB bolster positioning ahead of the October 4 ballot. Lower probabilities for names including Flávio Bolsonaro, Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado align with their single-digit or lower shares in local polling. Shifts could still occur from late-campaign momentum, higher opposition turnout, or broader national developments affecting voter sentiment in the final weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,063Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Paraíba's first-round presidential vote, driven by repeated state polls showing him with 50% or more support against fragmented opposition. Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys confirm his advantage in the Northeast state, where incumbent approval and party alliances with groups such as the PDT and PSB bolster positioning ahead of the October 4 ballot. Lower probabilities for names including Flávio Bolsonaro, Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado align with their single-digit or lower shares in local polling. Shifts could still occur from late-campaign momentum, higher opposition turnout, or broader national developments affecting voter sentiment in the final weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$40,063Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Paraíba's first-round presidential vote, driven by repeated state polls showing him with 50% or more support against fragmented opposition. Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys confirm his advantage in the Northeast state, where incumbent approval and party alliances with groups such as the PDT and PSB bolster positioning ahead of the October 4 ballot. Lower probabilities for names including Flávio Bolsonaro, Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado align with their single-digit or lower shares in local polling. Shifts could still occur from late-campaign momentum, higher opposition turnout, or broader national developments affecting voter sentiment in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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