Lula maintains a clear lead in Pará polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys such as AtlasIntel placing him at 44.7% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 37.2% and all other listed candidates in single digits or lower. This positioning reflects the incumbent's established voter base in the northern state's largest electoral college, reinforced by local alliances including MDB-backed candidates for governor and Senate. Trader consensus at 91% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent state-level results over the past month, though national polarization leaves room for shifts from turnout variations, late campaign developments, or consolidation among opposition names before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLula 91%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.5%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$19,739 Wol.
$19,739 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
91%
Flavio Bolsonaro
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Samara
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 91%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.5%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$19,739 Wol.
$19,739 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$10,415 Wol.
91%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,219 Wol.
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
$579 Wol.
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$560 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$862 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$1,294 Wol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$668 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$690 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$663 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$703 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$989 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a clear lead in Pará polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys such as AtlasIntel placing him at 44.7% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 37.2% and all other listed candidates in single digits or lower. This positioning reflects the incumbent's established voter base in the northern state's largest electoral college, reinforced by local alliances including MDB-backed candidates for governor and Senate. Trader consensus at 91% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent state-level results over the past month, though national polarization leaves room for shifts from turnout variations, late campaign developments, or consolidation among opposition names before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,739Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a clear lead in Pará polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys such as AtlasIntel placing him at 44.7% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 37.2% and all other listed candidates in single digits or lower. This positioning reflects the incumbent's established voter base in the northern state's largest electoral college, reinforced by local alliances including MDB-backed candidates for governor and Senate. Trader consensus at 91% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent state-level results over the past month, though national polarization leaves room for shifts from turnout variations, late campaign developments, or consolidation among opposition names before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$19,739Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a clear lead in Pará polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys such as AtlasIntel placing him at 44.7% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 37.2% and all other listed candidates in single digits or lower. This positioning reflects the incumbent's established voter base in the northern state's largest electoral college, reinforced by local alliances including MDB-backed candidates for governor and Senate. Trader consensus at 91% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent state-level results over the past month, though national polarization leaves room for shifts from turnout variations, late campaign developments, or consolidation among opposition names before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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