Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, reflecting the state’s conservative agricultural electorate and consistent double-digit advantages over Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time, and Percent Brasil. Recent regional data show the PL senator at 41–47 percent against Lula’s 26–33 percent, with other names like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind. National momentum from Supreme Court disputes has reinforced right-leaning consolidation in the state, where Jair Bolsonaro previously performed strongly. Traders price in limited scope for late shifts given the margin, though variables such as turnout among undecided voters or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote could narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.4%
Zema <1%
Renan Santos <1%
$10,034 Wol.
$10,034 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Lula
2%
Zema
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.4%
Zema <1%
Renan Santos <1%
$10,034 Wol.
$10,034 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,547 Wol.
96%
Lula
$1,490 Wol.
2%
Zema
$613 Wol.
1%
Renan Santos
$365 Wol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$475 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$391 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$449 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$566 Wol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$395 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$444 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$408 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$401 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, reflecting the state’s conservative agricultural electorate and consistent double-digit advantages over Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time, and Percent Brasil. Recent regional data show the PL senator at 41–47 percent against Lula’s 26–33 percent, with other names like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind. National momentum from Supreme Court disputes has reinforced right-leaning consolidation in the state, where Jair Bolsonaro previously performed strongly. Traders price in limited scope for late shifts given the margin, though variables such as turnout among undecided voters or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote could narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,034Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, reflecting the state’s conservative agricultural electorate and consistent double-digit advantages over Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time, and Percent Brasil. Recent regional data show the PL senator at 41–47 percent against Lula’s 26–33 percent, with other names like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind. National momentum from Supreme Court disputes has reinforced right-leaning consolidation in the state, where Jair Bolsonaro previously performed strongly. Traders price in limited scope for late shifts given the margin, though variables such as turnout among undecided voters or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote could narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$10,034Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, reflecting the state’s conservative agricultural electorate and consistent double-digit advantages over Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time, and Percent Brasil. Recent regional data show the PL senator at 41–47 percent against Lula’s 26–33 percent, with other names like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind. National momentum from Supreme Court disputes has reinforced right-leaning consolidation in the state, where Jair Bolsonaro previously performed strongly. Traders price in limited scope for late shifts given the margin, though variables such as turnout among undecided voters or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote could narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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